May 09, 2026

Optical Fiber Shortage 2026: Yog vim li cas muab Beats Nqe

Tso lus

Yog koj sourceoptical fiber ntaurau telecom rollouts, FTTH tsim, los yog cov ntaub ntawv center tej yaam num, kev sib tham tau hloov nyob rau hauv 2026. Lub optical fiber tsis txaus tsis yog ib tug nqi sib tham - nws yog ib tug muaj teeb meem. Thoob plaws Tuam Tshoj, North America, thiab qhov chaw ntawm cov teb chaws Europe, cov neeg yuav khoom tau tshaj tawm cov qauv zoo ib yam: txawm tias tus nqi raug lees txais, cov khoom siv feem ntau tsis nyob ntawd rau nkoj hauv lub sijhawm ua haujlwm xav tau.

Tsab ntawv xov xwm no piav qhia txog dab tsi yog tsav cov fiber ntau optic cable tsis txaus tam sim no, cov qib fiber ntau cuam tshuam dab tsi, qhov taw qhia tus nqi zoo li Q2 2026, thiab pab pawg neeg yuav khoom dab tsi tuaj yeem ua tau kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg nyob rau ob mus rau peb lub hlis tom ntej.

Yog vim li cas Optical Fiber hauv luv Supply hauv 2026?

Qhov no tsis yog lub voj voog tus nqi niaj hnub. Nws yog cov qauv khoom siv-xav tsis sib haum xeeb tshwm sim los ntawm ntau qhov kev nyuaj siab ntaus lub lag luam tib lub sijhawm.

1. AI Cov Chaw Cov Ntaub Ntawv Tau Txais Kev Xav Tau Fiber Ntau

Ib qho ntawm cov kev xav tau muaj zog tshaj plaws yog kev tsim kho ntawm AI infrastructure. Hyperscale tus neeg teb xov tooj thiab GPU pawg ua haujlwm yuav tsum muaj qhov ntom ntom, siab -fiber- suav kev sib txuas hauv tsev kawm ntawv thiab nruab nrab ntawm chav tsev. Lub teeb liab los ntawm cov dej ntws tawm yog qhov tseeb: hauv 2024, Corning tshaj tawm kev koom tes nrog Nvidia thiab cog lus tias yuav nthuav dav US optical connectivity manufacturing peev kaum npaug thiab nqa fiber ntau muaj peev xwm ntau dua 50% los txhawb AI-tsav xav tau - ib qho kev qhia tias cov neeg loj hlob tam sim no ncav cuag ncaj qha rau hauv cov khoom siv hluav taws xob ntau dua li kev cia siab rau kev lag luam qhib.

Rau cov pab pawg muag khoom ua haujlwmdata center connectivity, cov kev ua tau zoo yog pom nyob rau hauv specifications. Cov pob txha caj qaum uas tau siv los ua 12-core lossis 24-core yog tam sim no ib txwm teev tseg ntawm 144, 288, lossis ntau dua fiber ntau suav, feem ntau xa tuaj raws liMPO / MTP lub cev sib dhos. Ib pawg AI kev cob qhia ib leeg tuaj yeem haus ob peb zaug fiber ntau dua li cov ntaub ntawv lag luam sib piv tau tsim peb xyoos dhau los.

2. Ntau lawm muaj peev xwm tsis tau scaled ceev

Kev tsim kho qhov muag fiber ntau yog peev- siv zog thiab maj mam nthuav dav. Mus los ntawm preform deposition mus rau kos duab, txheej, thiab pov thawj- kuaj yuav tsum tau cov cuab yeej precision, tsim nyog huv-chaw ib puag ncig, thiab ntev txheej txheem validation mus. Ntxiv qhov muaj peev xwm tshiab muaj txiaj ntsig feem ntau yuav siv sijhawm 12 txog 24 lub hlis los ntawm kev pom zoo los ntawm pawg thawj coj saib rau cov khoom tsim nyog, uas yog vim li cas cov lus tshaj tawm nthuav tawm hauv xyoo 2024 thiab 2025 tsuas yog pib ua kom yooj yim cov fwj tam sim no. Peb lub ntsiab lus ntawmfiber ntau optic cable manufacturingtaug kev los ntawm txoj kev sib txuas li cas.

3. Cov nqi ntawm cov khoom siv raw yog stacking

Qhov tsis txaus yog tsis txwv rau iav. Ob peb inputs zaum ib sab ntawm lub fiber nyob rau hauv ib tug tiav cable tau nruj nyob rau hauv parallel:

  • Aramid xov paj siv los ua tus tswv cuab lub zog
  • PBT thiab PE compounds siv hauv cov raj xoob thiab cov tsho sab nrauv
  • Dej- thaiv thiab sau cov khoom sib xyaw
  • LSZH compounds rau sab hauv tsev thiab riser cables

Kev lag luam trackers npog aramid thiab engineering polymers tau pom pom kev nce siab siab txij li xyoo 2025 mus rau thaum ntxov 2026, tau tsav los ntawm cov nqi pub khoom noj, lub zog, thiab muaj peev xwm tsawg hauv cov qib tshwj xeeb. Cov txiaj ntsig sib xyaw yog tias txawm tias fiber ntau nws tus kheej tau faib, cov nqi cable tiav thiab lub sij hawm txhuas tseem nce siab.

4. Tus cwj pwm ntawm tus neeg yuav khoom yog Amplifying tus nyem

Raws li cov lus nug peb tau ua dhau los ntawm Q1 thiab Q2 2026 nrog FTTH cov tswv lag luam thiab cov chaw sib koom ua ke, kev ua lag luam tau faib ua ob. Ib pawg ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom yog kaw qhov chaw tsim khoom, lees txais cov nqe lus them ua ntej, thiab kho kev faib ua qhov tseem ceeb. Lwm pab pawg tseem tos txog kev kho tus nqi uas, muab cov qauv tsav tsheb saum toj no, yuav tsis tuaj txog ntawm lub sijhawm lawv xav tau. Thaum pab pawg thib ob thaum kawg txav mus, lawv feem ntau ntsib ob qho tib si siab dua thiab lub sijhawm ua haujlwm ntev dua - vim tias lub peev xwm muaj twb tau faib rau thawj pab pawg.

Hom Fiber Hom twg Tightest tam sim no?

Qhov tsis txaus yog tsis sib xws thoob plaws hauv phau ntawv teev npe. Ob qho tib si - hom qib uas xav tias qhov siab tshaj plaws yog cov nyob hauv plawv ntawm kev nkag mus rau network thiab siab - kev xa tawm ceev.

Hom Fiber Daim ntawv thov tseem ceeb Indicative Reference (Tuam Tshoj chaw, Tsib Hlis 2026, ex-tax) Muaj Risk
G.652.D General -lub hom phiaj ib leeg- hom rau qaum, metro, thiab FTTH Nyob ib ncig ntawm RMB 120 ib fiber ntau -km Tight - faib ntau
G.657.A2 Khoov-tseem ceeb ib leeg- hom rau FTTH poob, sab hauv tsev, thiab chaw zov me nyuam Nyob ib ncig ntawm RMB 260 ib fiber ntau -km nruj heev - nquag stockouts

Indicative reference xwb. Cov duab qhia txog Tuam Tshoj cov chaw hais lus hauv tsev sau thaum lub Tsib Hlis 2026, tsis suav cov se thiab cov khoom thauj, thiab tseem yuav raug muab faib rau cov neeg siv khoom. Export daim ntawv cog lus thiab loj - cov ntawv cog lus ua haujlwm loj feem ntau sib txawv.

Yog vim li cas G.657.A2 yog ib qho nyuaj rau qhov tshaj G.652.D los rau specification sib tshooj. G.657.A2 fiber ntau ua tau raws li ob qho tib si tus qauv - hom kev ua tau zoo ntawm G.652.D thiab cov macrobending tolerances nruj dua txhais los ntawmITU-T G.657 kev pom zoo, uas ua rau nws lub neej ntawd kev xaiv rau compactFTTH poob cables, sab hauv tsev risers, thiab siab -cov ntaub ntawv ceev patching. Thaum cov khoom nruj me ntsis, cov neeg yuav khoom hla ntau qhov kawg - kev lag luam sib tw rau tib yam khoom, thiab cov kev xav tau ntawd thawb lub sij hawm ua ntej tawm sai dua rau cov hom phiaj qib -.

Qhov Kev Hloov Pauv txhais li cas hauv cov ntsiab lus tswv yim

Rau feem ntau ntawm kaum xyoo dhau los, cov neeg siv khoom siv fiber ntau optic tau ua haujlwm ntawm phau ntawv ua si uas paub: sau peb lossis ntau dua nqe lus, sib tham, thiab tso qhov kev txiav txim nrog ob peb lub lis piam ntawm lub sijhawm ua haujlwm. Hauv 2026, ntau qhov kev xav tsis tau tuav lawm:

  • Kev them nyiaj ua ntej yog nce ntxiv.Cov neeg muag khoom ntsib lawv tus kheej cov ntaub ntawv raw cov lus cog tseg yog thov kom tso nyiaj, them nyiaj tseem ceeb, lossis them tag nrho ua ntej teem sijhawm ntau lawm.
  • Lub sijhawm ua haujlwm tau nthuav dav.Qhov twg 3 mus rau 4 lub lis piam yog tus qauv rau ib qho - hom cable, 6 mus rau 10 lub lis piam tam sim no muaj tseeb, thiab ntev dua rau siab - fiber ntau - suav lossis kev tsim tshwj xeeb.
  • "Quoted" thiab "muaj" tsis zoo ib yam.Tus nqi ntawm daim ntawv tsis yog ib txwm tuaj nrog qhov tseeb ntau lawm. Cov neeg yuav khoom tau nug cov neeg muag khoom kom paub meej txog kev faib khoom, tsis yog nqe lus xwb.

Dab tsi Optical Fiber buyers yuav tsum ua tam sim no

Yog hais tias koj muaj tej yaam num uas xav tau fiber ntau los yog tiav cable nyob rau tom ntej no rau rau mus rau kaum ob lub hlis, lub xam tau hloov. Ib daim ntawv tshuaj ntsuam xyuas:

  • Paub meej specifications thiab ntau npaum li sai tau.Xauv daim nqi ntawm cov ntaub ntawv nrog koj pab neeg tsim ua ntej koj mus rau kev ua lag luam, yog li koj tuaj yeem thov kev faib nyiaj ruaj khov dua li qhov qhia txog tus nqi.
  • Nug cov neeg muag khoom kom paub qhov txawv ntawm cov khoom ntawm kev faib khoom."Peb tuaj yeem xa" tuaj yeem txhais tau tias muaj cov khoom muag, npaj ntau lawm, lossis lub peev xwm uas nyob ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tuaj txog lub sijhawm. Peb qhov kev pheej hmoo tsis sib npaug.
  • Cais qhov kev thov ceev los ntawm lub hauv paus -load thov.Siv qhov chaw yuav khoom rau luv luv - lub sijhawm luv luv thiab cov ntawv cog lus ua haujlwm rau kev kwv yees qhov ntim. Kev faib cov phau ntawv txiav txim txo qhov cuam tshuam rau ib tus neeg muag khoom qhov kev txiav txim siab faib.
  • Xav txog kev hloov pauv uas siv tau.Rau qee qhov kev siv hauv network, G.657.A1 tuaj yeem ua tau raws li qhov yuav tsum tau khoov kev ua tau zoo, tso tawm G.657.A2 peev xwm rau cov haujlwm uas xav tau qhov kev ua siab ntev dua macrobending. Tham nrog koj pab neeg engineering ua ntej hloov.
  • Tau txais cov sijhawm ua haujlwm hauv kev sau ntawv.Ib qho kev lees paub ntau lawm nrog rau lub qhov rais xa ntawv yog tsim nyog ntau dua li qhov pheej yig dua me ntsis nrog lub sijhawm tsis meej.
  • Diversify, tab sis tsim nyog.Ntxiv tus neeg xa khoom thib ob pab tau, tab sis tsuas yog tias lawv cov khoom tau raug sim tawm tsam koj qhov kev qhia tshwj xeeb - lig - theem kev tsim nyog ua tsis tiav thaum lub sijhawm luv luv yog kim.

Cov lus nug nquag

Vim li cas fiber ntau optical nyob rau hauv luv luv nyob rau hauv 2026?

Qhov tsis txaus yog tsav los ntawm kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm kev nrawm nrawm - qhov kev thov loj zuj zus los ntawm AI cov chaw khaws ntaub ntawv thiab kev tsim kho hyperscale, maj mam nce lub peev xwm nthuav dav, nce nqi rau cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, thiab cov neeg yuav khoom tus cwj pwm uas muaj kev faib tawm ntawm cov neeg siv khoom txaus siab ua ntej. Tsis muaj ib qho laj thawj piav qhia qhov xwm txheej ntawm nws tus kheej.

Puas yog fiber ntau tsis txaus los ntawm AI cov chaw zov me nyuam ib leeg?

AI cov chaw zov me nyuam yog ib qho ntawm cov tsav tsheb uas muaj zog tshaj plaws, tsis yog ib qho xwb. Hyperscale AI pawg siv ntau zaus ntau dua fiber ntau hauv ib qhov project dua li cov chaw lag luam cov ntaub ntawv ib txwm muaj, thiab lawv tau rub mus rau qhov kev thov siab rau - fiber ntau - suav cable thiab MPO cov rooj sib txoos. Telecom thiab FTTH xav tau tseem nyob ruaj khov nyob rau sab saum toj ntawm qhov ntawd, thiab cov khoom siv raw txwv tsis pub cuam tshuam rau txhua hom cable, tsis yog cov khoom siv hauv cov ntaub ntawv xwb.

Vim li cas G.657.A2 fiber ntau nyuaj nrhiav dua G.652.D?

G.657.A2 ua tau raws li ob qho tib si tus qauv - hom kev ua tau zoo ntawm G.652.D thiab qhov nruj dua dabtsi yog khoov qhov yuav tsum tau muaj rau FTTH poob, sab hauv tsev, thiab siab -cov ntaub ntawv ceev ceev. Qhov ob lub hom phiaj - lub hom phiaj txhais tau tias ntau qhov kawg - kev lag luam sib tw rau cov khoom siv tib yam thaum muaj peev xwm nruj, uas yog vim li cas muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm G.657.A2 feem ntau siab dua li ntawm - lub hom phiaj G.652.D.

Ntev npaum li cas yog lub sijhawm ua haujlwm ntawm optical fiber ntau tam sim no?

Lub sij hawm txhuas sib txawv raws li cov khoom lag luam thiab tus neeg muag khoom, tab sis hauv Q2 2026 cov neeg yuav khoom feem ntau pom 6 txog 10 lub lis piam rau ib qho - hom cable, nrog lub qhov rais ntev dua rau siab - fiber ntau - suav, ribbon, lossis kev tsim tshwj xeeb. Lub sij hawm txhuas rau liab qab fiber ntau tuaj yeem luv dua lossis ntev dua nyob ntawm seb qhov kev txiav txim yog ib feem ntawm daim ntawv cog lus uas twb muaj lawm lossis qhov chaw yuav khoom tshiab.

Yuav tsum cov neeg yuav khoom ruaj ntseg fiber ntau ua ntej?

Cov neeg yuav khoom nrog cov haujlwm uas tau lees paub hauv ob lub hlis tom ntej no feem ntau tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev ruaj ntseg faib ua ntej, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog rau G.657.A2 thiab siab -fiber- suav cable. Cov neeg yuav khoom nrog ntev dua - hnub thov tuaj yeem siv qhov sib xyaw ua ke ntawm cov ntawv cog lus sib cog lus thiab qhov chaw yuav khoom kom sib npaug tus nqi tiv thaiv kev pheej hmoo. Qhov kev txiav txim siab yog nyob ntawm qhov tseeb ntawm qhov project, kev ua haujlwm siab ua haujlwm siab, thiab cov hom cable tshwj xeeb xav tau.

Qhov Chaw Ua Lag Luam Tau Los

Cov txheej txheem tsav tsheb tom qab qhov tsis txaus no - AI infrastructure scaling, slow upstream muaj peev xwm ntxiv, thiab raw khoom siab - tsis zoo li yuav daws tau nyob rau hauv ib lub hlis twg. Lub peev xwm fiber ntau tau tshaj tawm hauv 2024 thiab 2025 yuav maj mam ncav cuag lub khw mus txog 2026 thiab 2027, tab sis qhov kev thov tau txav mus rau tib lub sijhawm. Rau cov neeg yuav khoom, qhov cuam tshuam ncaj qha: hauv 2026, kev ruaj ntseg khoom yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj li kev sib tham tus nqi.

Yog tias koj tab tom nrhiav fiber ntau lossis cable rau FTTH, kev sib txuas lus, lossis cov ntaub ntawv chaw ua haujlwm tom ntej, peb pab neeg tuaj yeem pab koj ntsuas cov khoom muaj, kev faib khoom, thiab kev hloov pauv raws li koj qhov kev qhia tshwj xeeb thiab lub sijhawm ua haujlwm.Tiv tauj peblos tham txog koj cov kev xav tau.

Xa kev nug